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A Short History of the Future, by W. Warren Wagar
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W. Warren Wagar's A Short History of the Future is a memoir of postmodern times, cast as a history. This powerful and visionary book is narrated by a far-future historian, Peter Jensen, who leaves this account of the world from the 1990s to the opening of the twenty-third century as a gift to his granddaughter. A combination of fiction and scholarship, this third edition of Wagar's speculative history of the future alternates between descriptions of world events and intimate glimpses of his fictive historian's family into the first centuries of the new millennium.
"Thanks to Wagar's magisterial command of futurist information and theory, his extrapolated near-term future is an incisive, dynamic vision of where we may indeed be heading."—H. Bruce Franklin, Washington Post
"A comprehensive, massively detailed script of a possible near future. . . . Intriguing."—San Francisco Chronicle
"A Short History of the Future reads with ease, raises provocative possibilities and presents challenging occasions for thought and argument."—Chicago Tribune
"A breathtaking future history in the manner of Wells and Stapledon, unnerving in its mixture of fact, fiction, and personal perspectives."—George Zebrowski, New York Review of Science Fiction
- Sales Rank: #2042395 in Books
- Published on: 1999-08-01
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x .80" w x 6.00" l, 1.05 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 340 pages
From Publishers Weekly
An imaginary history of the world from 1995 to 2200, this futurist tract can be read as science fiction or as an analytical extrapolation from current political-social trends. With magisterial sweep, it predicts the collapse of the global capitalist system (including the state capitalisms of the Soviet Union and China), the death of six billion people in World War III, mass starvation, the founding of a socialist-democratic world government. Then, around 2140, the Smalls, with their philosophy of eco-mysticism, usher in a decentralized, human-scale socioeconomic order. Wager, a historian at the State University of New York, loads the deck by including almost every conceivable scenario--solar power, colonies in space and on Mars, Arab-Israeli war, the disintegration of marriage and the family, genetic engineering, and so forth. His bold chronicle is thought-provoking, disturbing and immensely worthwhile.
Copyright 1989 Reed Business Information, Inc.
From Library Journal
This future world history is presented as the reminiscences of a 115-year old historian, supposedly transcribed from a "holofilm" bequeathed to his granddaughter in the year 2200. Wagar is not a science fiction writer, although he uses the genre's methods. In a highly readable style he projects plausible societal futures based upon current trends. He outlines the fall of world capitalism in book one and forecasts shortages of natural resources and a nuclear catastrophe. In book two he describes the establishment of a socialist world government, and in book three tells how a decentralized utopian world community comes about. Since Arthur C. Clarke's July 20, 2019 ( LJ 1/87) and other books have focused more on technological changes in the immediate future, Wagar's sociological speculations constitute an important addition to the field of future studies. Recommended for most libraries.
- Gary D. Barber, SUNY at Fredonia Lib.
Copyright 1989 Reed Business Information, Inc.
From the Back Cover
In the tradition of H. G. Well's The Shape of Things to Come, W. Warren Wagar's A Short History of the Future is a memoir of postmodern times. Cast in the form of a history book, the narrative voice of the book's powerful vision is that of a far-future historian, Peter Jensen, who leaves this account of the world from the 1990's to the opening of the twenty-third century as a gift to his grand-daughter. A dazzling and imaginative combination of fiction and scholarship, Wagar's speculative history of the future alternates between descriptions of world events and intimate glimpses of his fictive historian's family through the ages.
Most helpful customer reviews
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Not meant to be a prediction
By Peter J. Orvetti
Wagar's book is a look back from the dawn of the 23rd century at the history of the world over the previous 200 years. While Wagar makes some actual predictions about scientific progress that are intriguing and somewhat realistic -- human life extended to about 150 years, for instance, and genetic improvements that essentially create a new species of genius children -- he is primarily using this framework to explore different large-scale economic systems.
The first part of the book shows modern international capitalism run amok, to an exaggerated conclusion where a small set of gargantuan monopolies have eclipsed governments and control the lives of workers. This is succeeded by a global socialist state that revives the environment and creates new opportunities for education and artistic exploration, but which eventually collapses under the weight of its own bureaucracy and unintended suppression of individualism. The third shows the world in reset, with new small nations emerging, free to choose their own ideological paths.
Some of the ideas are fantastical, some simplistic, but this is a fun read that casts some light on differing economic ideologies.
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Enjoyable on many levels, it gets you thinking for months
By A Customer
ASHOTF is one of the best books I have ever read, and the most influential (Structure of Scientific Revolutions and A History of the Balkans are the others), it doesn't leave you.
Enjoyably at the end of every section, there are personal notes from "ancestors" of the authors. Also included are some major political characters from obscurity to leadership, as well as the define and fall of nations. ASHOTF manages to perfectly meld a family history, a history of nations, and a discussion on philosophy while seeming to be neither. It makes you see everybody, from your parents to Jefferson, Marx, and Mao, in a new light.
13 of 20 people found the following review helpful.
uncreative rehash of 100 years of ill conceived utopias
By Travisji Corcoran
First let me say that I did not dislike this book because it presented a leftist utopia: I *loved* the novel _Ecotopia_, because it was genuinely different; something new under the sun.
A Short History of the Future, on the other hand, was a tired rehash of every leftist utopian scheme I've ever seen, and even lifted Chomskian phrases and Marxist rhetoric and just pasted it in. It's fine to have a well thought out leftist vision of the future, it's pathetic and lazy to have a recycled cut-and-paste vision of the future, no matter what the political viewpt.
In the author's future history, capitalism betrays itself by concentrating wealth ever more densely in the hands of just a few. The Evil Capitalist Overlords, in an updated version of Marx, use up their middle manager in a white-collar hell of forced relocations, long trips, etc. Happilly, the Soviet Union persists into the middle of the 21st century (yes, the self-described "futurist" author, writing in 1988, missed the fall of the USSR less than two yrs in the future) and provides an alternative. From the thesis and antithesis of capitalism (you can tell this was written by an academic) comes a vaunted Third Way (wow, this is *really* new stuff; I haven't seen such ideas since...well, any progressive newspaper from the 1920s...). The third way has class conciousness merged with ecological conciousness (wow! amazing! Who could imagine such a thing in 1988...besides, say, the German Green party?). Child raising is gradually passed off to professionals, and marriage becomes delegitimized and illegal.
Oh, to make this only slightly disguised academic manifesto really sad, you have to know that the founder of the Third Way political group was a graduate student in the early 21st century.
The book has a lot of great reviews on the back cover, but careful reading shows that most of them come from friends and associates of the author: log-rolling at its finest.
This book is almost unreadable.
Save your money.
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